Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Hong Kong Uptrending stock - Tencent Holding


ART Supertrend system shows that Tencent has changed from orange to green, it indicates the trend is changed from bearish to bullish. For more information & learn more stocks, please come to attend our free seminars :

Dates (Select one):

5 March 2014, Thu (English Seminar) 7pm - 10pm
6 March, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm


Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light



Tencent Holdings Limited (Chinese: 腾讯控股有限公司) is a Chinese investment holding company whose subsidiaries provide mass media, entertainment, Internet and mobile phone value-added services, and operate online advertising services in China.
Tencent's many services include social network, web portals, e-commerce, and multiplayer online games. Its offerings include the well-known (in China) instant messenger Tencent QQ and one of the largest web portals in China, QQ.com. Mobile chat service WeChat has helped bolster Tencent's continued expansion into smartphone services.
It is the fifth-largest Internet company in the world after Google, Amazon, Alibaba, and Ebay as of October 2014.As March 12, 2014, the market value of Tencent is about 1.041 trillion yuan (US$150 billion).

Below is a finance news of  TENCENT from AAStocks Financial News for your reference.

CICC in a report rated TENCENT (00700.HK)  at Conviction Buy and raised its target price by 12.5% to $180. The research house switched from Baidu to Tencent as its top pick and said Tencent showed massive value in financial/payment-related business, manifested by the promotion of WeChat red-envelops during the Chinese New Year which successfully attracted nearly 200 million users to link their bank accounts to the app. 
(Quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2015-02-25 12:25.)

AAStocks Financial News
Web Site: www.aastocks.com

Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Wishing you and your family the best of the world in this Chinese New Year!



Please take note of the exchange holidays for the upcoming week ahead. 
SGX will be trading from 9.00am-12.30pm on eve of Chinese New Year (Wed, 18 Feb 2015).

Monday, February 16, 2015

BYD COMPANY (01211.HK) target lifted to $72, rated Outperform - C Suisse

Technical view using ART system


For the past two years, Art system have accurately captured the stock trend,eg:

if you have followed the system to sell off at HK$53 in Nov 2014,  you will have escaped a big downfall as the stock crashed from 53 to 24 over the past half a year. Now we see the system has changed from orange to green, it indicates the trend is changed from bearish to bullish. Below is a finance news of  BYD COMPANY from AAStocks Financial News for your reference.




BYD COMPANY (01211.HK) announced the disposal of its electronic components business for RMB2.3 billion and the company expected to bring asset increment effect of RMB1.63 billion from the deal, Credit Suisse mentioned in a report. 

The research house took a positive view towards the transaction given the fair valuation, good disposal timing, and the increasing competition of the flexible circuit boards, liquid crystal display panels and modules, camera products industry.

The broker has raised BYD's target price from $71 to $72, with rating reiterated at Outperform. 
(Quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2015-02-16 16:25.)

AAStocks Financial News
Web Site: www.aastocks.com

Why Noble Group limited Drop 9% today? Due to Iceberg Research?

Below is the article from Iceberg-research.com a unknown website that my client sent me, will this be the reason why noble drop so much today? I checked the website, cant find the contact number or track record of this company Iceberg Research, unlike Muddy water. So just read it carefully for your reference.


http://iceberg-research.com/

NOBLE GROUP: A REPEAT OF ENRON

Iceberg Research initiates coverage on Noble Group, a large commodity trader listed in Singapore, ranked number 76 in the 2014 Fortune Global 500 with revenue of $98b, market cap of $6b, and rated investment grade (BBB-/Baa3).
We show how Noble uses accounting loopholes, or aggressive accounting, in every component of its financials (income statement, balance sheet, cash flows). Noble intentionally misleads credit agencies and investors. The auditor, Ernst and Young, is well aware of the situation. The financial similarities between Noble and the defunct commodity trader Enron are striking (e.g. overvalued assets, contracts fair values, working capital management, debt presentation). The investment grade rating is definitely not justified. We estimate Noble’s equity is less than $360m (from a reported $5.6b) after the various impairments we list in this series of reports. On a price-to-book basis, the value of Noble’s shares is conservatively valued at a mere ten Singapore cents (a 92% fall from the current share price).
The three parts of our research are:
  1. Associates and Noble Agri
  2. Fair values (Continuing operations) and operating cash flows
  3. Real level of debt (gross and net), so-called “liquidity headroom”, auditor and governance
At this date, Iceberg Research does not have any long/short position in Noble’s securities (neither directly nor indirectly) and does not work in tandem with funds.
First Report: Associates and Noble Agri
Summary of findings:
  • Noble exploits the accounting treatment of its associates to avoid large impairments and fabricate profit.
  • Yancoal is the most representative example, with a gap of $600m between the carrying and market values. However, the accounting technique has been used for other companies.
  • Contrary to what Noble’s management claims, the misfortunes of these associates have a substantial cash impact on Noble.
  • The proclaimed recovery of the Agri business in 2014 was manufactured through the use of questionable methods such as subsidies from the group or depreciation cuts.
  • We believe the final price for the new associate Agri will be much lower than the provisional $1.5b payment; and/or that Noble will have substantial remaining financial commitments to its new associate. Noble may once again use the accounting for associates to hide the impairment.
  • Selling the palm oil business will be very difficult for Noble since the licence of one of its subsidiaries has been revoked by the local government.
Click here to download and print the first report: Report 1 Associates and Agri-15022015

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Black Horse Scanner 11 Feb 2015

Some of our friends requested us to post the result of Black horse screener

Black horse screener scan out some short term strong momentum stock today

 Click here for more about Black Horse Screener

To find out more information on Northbound trading of China A Share. Do attend our upcoming seminar 
12 FEB 2015, Thu (English Seminar) 7pm - 10pm
13 FEB 2015, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light. 
To register pls click HERE 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

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Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Hugh losses can be prevented - Pacific Andes

Many times we see investors pick the right stocks, but we realised it just take one wrong stocks to wipe out your whole year profits, Pacific Andes is one of the most downtrending stocks in Singapore for the past 5 years, Since 2010 Pacific Andes dropped from 0.16 to now  0.052.


In November 13, one of our friends text and asked about Pac Andes, whether he can Accumulate this counter, I am glad that our supertrend system was showing Bearish at the point of time. If our friend have bought Pacific Andes at the point of time, he wound have lose badly on this trade, price fall more than 40% since October 2014


Tuesday, February 10, 2015

5 most active Singapore REITs by turnover since October

  • There are 34 trusts that make up Singapore’s REIT Sector - they have a combined a market cap of S$69 billion and averaged a 3.5% gain in January.
  • The five most active REITs by turnover over the past three months were Suntec REIT, Ascendas REIT, CapitaMall Trust, CapitaCommercial Trust and the recently listed Keppel DC REIT
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) invest in a wide range of diversified real estate assets such as office, residential, retail, hospitality, industrial properties or hi-tech parks. The income generated by these properties are distributed to the investors as dividends.

There are 34 Trusts listed on Singapore Exchange (SGX) classified to the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT) by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). This is made up of 28 REITS governed by the Collective Investment Scheme and six stapled securities. They have a combined a market capitalisation of S$68.9 billion and they averaged a 3.5% in year-to-date total return. As noted in APREA’s white paper last year since the launch of the first J-REIT in September 2001, the market capitalisation of Asian REITs exceeds US$140 billion.

The five most active REITs by turnover over the past three months were Suntec REIT, Ascendas REIT, CapitaMall Trust, CapitaCommercial Trust and the recently listed Keppel DC REIT. In the month of January these five REITs averaged a 2.6% gain. The table below details the 34 trusts sorted according to the most active by turnover over the past three months. Since the end of October 2014, the FTSE ST REIT Index generated a total return of 5.7%.


Suntec REIT
Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment fund managed by ARA Trust Management (suntec) Limited. The fund invests in real estate and real estate-related assets that are primarily used for retail or office purposes. Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust was formed on November 01, 2004 and is based in Singapore, Singapore. On 22 January 2015, the Trust reported that their gross revenue for the financial year ended 31 December 2014, increased by 20.6% to S$282.4 million (click here to view). The Trust went ex-dividend on 28 October 2014, distributing S$0.02328 (S$0.0044 + S$0.0004 + S$0.01848) per unit in dividends.

Ascendas REIT
Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust launched and managed by Ascendas Funds Management (S) Limited. The fund invests in the real estate markets of Singapore and China. It invests in business and science Parks properties, Hi-Specs Industrial properties/Data Centres, Light Industrial properties/Flatted Factories, Logistics & Distribution Centres, and Warehouse Retail Facilities. Ascendas Funds Management (S) Limited was formed on October 9, 2002 and is based in Singapore, Singapore. On 22 January 2015, the Trust reported that their revenue for the financial period ended 31 December 2014, increased by 9.3% to S$500.0 million (click here to view). The trust went ex-dividend on 29 October 2014, distributing S$0.001 per unit in dividends.

CapitaMall Trust
CapitaMall Trust (CMT) is a publicly owned real estate investment arm of CapitaLand Ltd. The firm invests in income producing retail properties. It invests in the real estate markets of Singapore. CapitaMall Trust was founded in October, 2001 and is based in Singapore. On 23 January 2015, the Trust reported that their revenue for the financial year ended 31 December 2014, increased by 3.3% to S$658.9 million (click here to view). The trust went ex-dividend on 24 October 2014, distributing S$0.0272 per unit in dividends.

CapitaCommercial Trust
CapitaCommercial Trust is a publicly owned real estate investment fund. The fund invests in real estate and real estate-related assets, which are primarily used for commercial purposes in Singapore. Its portfolio primarily consists of office buildings. On 21 January 2015, the Trust reported that their gross revenue for the financial year ended 31 December 2014, increased by 4.6% to S$240.3 million (click here to view).

Keppel DC REIT
Keppel DC REIT is a real estate investment trust launched and managed by Keppel DC REIT Management Pte. Ltd. It invests in the real estate markets across Asia-Pacific and Europe. The fund acquires income producing data centre properties. Keppel DC REIT is based in Singapore and  was listed on 12 December 2014.

Source: My Gateway

Monday, February 9, 2015

SGX My First Stock Carvinal 2015

Im honoured to be part of this fantastic event, SGX My First Stock Carvinal @ cineleisure, sharing the topic "5 Secret Investings Tips the RICH dont want you to know, from the story how I begin in stock market to the experience being a remisier and most importantly what i see in this industry(the real stuff). How the Rich Investor invest differently compare to the "not so Rich investor".


 Glad to see that SGX is taking more initiative to reach out to the young people,


Spoke to Mr Magnus Bocker, CEO of  Singapore Exchange during the event, glad that he enjoy my talk as well. Told him that we see that the market is getting better(more liquidity) this year, keep it this way! Cheers!


Friday, February 6, 2015

Sharing my experience on another SGX event in the heart of Orchard road!


Hi Friends, i will be speaking tomorrow at Orchard road sharing some of my experience with the young people! Check out more on SGX's My First Stock Carnival 2015!

Will be Sharing:  "5 Secrets Investing Tips the Rich Don't Want You to Know"

Venue: Cathay Cineleisure @ Somerset
(Next to Starbucks)


full event agenda/schedule is here
SGX My First Stock Carnival 2015 EDM FA2 agenda copy

Noble group Turning up?

Noble group has been downtrending since last year July, if falls from $1.40 to $1.00, and now it is back to $1.11.
Previously our system successfully show bearish signal when the price start falling where the Green candle change to Orange. Now our ART Supertrend system show green again, for mid term trade this could be a possible turn.
 Stoploss can place below support level $1.00

Thursday, February 5, 2015

Hi-P benefit from Xiaomi Phone sales?

Technical view on ART system
On the above Hi-P Chart, we saw that using ART bottom master system, most of the Bottom master Signal picks at the right point, this actually shows that the market is responding to the price fall, Every time Hi-P stock drop too much, someone is picking it up and cause the reversal. Thou today the signal is not out yet, the chart already tell me how I should trade this stock. Basically, buy when it drop and form a reversal and place a stoploss below the low.

Below are some highlights on Hi-P from Phillip research report

Investment Merits

  •  Strong sales of Xiaomi phones would lead to significant boost to revenue.
  •  New Nantong plant will improve cost structure and expand production capacity.
  •  New dual-screen YotaPhone 2 offers potential sales boom.

Risk Factors

  •  High FX volatility among USD, RMB and SGD may result in significant impact, given its high net transactional currency exposure.
  • Business operates in highly competitive and volatile industries.
  • Sales heavily reliant on key major customers.

Riding on Xiaomi’s growth wave
Xiaomi adopted a metal frame for its Mi4 phone, unlike its predecessor models which
were built with plastic frames. Hi-P International is one of the 2 suppliers (the other
being Foxconn) engaged to make stainless steel casing for Xiaomi phones. The
success of Mi4 has led to Xiaomi becoming the world’s 3rd top selling phone maker
after Samsung and Apple.

This is just part of the report, You can email me for the full report

Wednesday, February 4, 2015

NEW WORLD DEV upgraded to Buy, target at $12.3 - Deutsche

Technical view using ART system

if you have followed the system and sold off multiple times in the 2013 downtrend, you will have escaped most of the sharp fall as the stock crashed from $14 to $8 over the past 2 years. Now we see the system has changed from orange to green, it indicates the trend is changed from bearish to bullish. Below is a finance news of  NEW WORLD DEV from AAStocks Financial News for your reference.


Deutsche Bank said in the latest research report that NEW WORLD DEV (00017.HK)  has sufficient projects in hand to maintain the selling progress and the financial ability to acquire land reserves at the current low prices which can support strong future earnings and NAV growth. The research house upgraded New World Development's rating to Buy from Hold, with a target price of $12.3 (up from $8.99).
(Quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2015-02-03 16:25.)
AAStocks Financial News
Web Site: www.aastocks.com







Highest dividend yields among stocks with billion dollar Mkt Cap

  • In addition to the REIT Sector which maintains an average indicative yield of 6.4%, there are also number of stocks listed on SGX that have maintained comparatively higher dividend yields than the STI.
  • Among the SGX-listed stocks with a market capitalisation above S$1 billion, the five stocks that maintain the highest 12 month gross dividend yields are Asian Pay Television Trust, China Merchants Holdings (Pacific), Hutchison Port Holdings Trust, Venture Corporation and M1.
  • These five stocks have a combined market capitalisation of S$14 billion, and averaged a 3.0% gain in price year-to-date. Their average 12 month gross dividend yield is 7.2%.
  • The table below details the 20 highest yielding stocks with more than $1 billion market capitalisation, sorted according to 12 month gross yield. Please note that Fraser & Neave is not included in the table as the distribution of S$0.42 in March 2014 was a return of capital.

Asian Pay Television TrustAsian Pay Television Trust operates as a cable TV system operator in Taiwan. The company provides basic cable TV and digital cable TV services; and value-added services, such as broadband Internet access and cable telephony services, as well as premium digital television programming to households and businesses.

Asian Pay Television Trust has a market capitalisation of S$1.3 billion and the stock generated the highest 12 month yield of 8.8%. On 6 Nov 2014, the company reported their revenue for the quarter ended 30 September, increased by 2.38% year-on-year to S$80.5 million (Click here to view more).

The stock went ex-dividend on 10 Dec 2014, distributing S$0.02 per share in dividends.

China Merchants Holdings (Pacific)
China Merchants Holdings (Pacific) Limited, an investment holding company, invests in and manages toll roads in the People’s Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Toll Road Operations and Property Development.

China Merchants Holdings has a market capitalisation of S$1.0 billion and the stock generated a 12 month yield of 7.9%. On 6 Nov 2014, the company reported their net profit attributable to shareholders for the quarter ended 20 September 2014, increased by 45% year-on-year to HK$210.9 million (Click here to view more). 

The stock went ex-dividend on 16 Oct 2014, with an interim distribution of S$0.035 per share in dividends.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust, together with its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, operates, and manages deep-water container ports in Guangdong Province of China, Hong Kong, and Macau. The company owns interests in four deep-water container ports located in Kwai Tsing, Hong Kong and Shenzhen, China.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust has a market capitalisation of S$6.4 billion and the stock generated a 12 month yield of 7.2%. On 27 Oct 2014, the company reported their operating profit for the quarter ended 30 September 2014, increased by 3.5% year-on-year to HK$1.2 billion (Click here to view more).

The stock went ex-dividend on 1 Aug 2014, distributing HKD$0.187 per share in dividends.

Venture Corporation
Venture Corporation Limited provides technology services, products, and solutions in Singapore, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Electronics Services Provider, Retail Store Solutions and Industrial, and Component Technology.

Venture Corporation has a market capitalisation of S$2.2 billion and the stock generated a 12 month yield of 6.3%. On 7 Nov 2014, the company reported their revenue for the quarter ended 30 September 2014, increased by 1.7% year-on-year to S$598.7 million (Click here to view more).

The stock went ex-dividend on 5 May 2014, distributing S$0.50 per share in dividends.

M1
M1 provides mobile and fixed communications services in Singapore. It offers a range of voice, data, and value-added services on 4G, 3G/high speed packet access, and 2G networks; and wireless broadband services.

M1 has a market capitalisation of S$3.4 billion and the stock generated a 12 month dividend yield of 5.7%. On 19 Jan 2015, the company reported their net profit for the quarter ended 31 December 2014, increased by 9.9% year-on-year to S$44.5 million (click here to view more). The company declared a dividend of S$0.119 on 19 January 2015, which will go ex-dividend on 17 April 2015.

Note that another common method of gauging dividend returns is to look at the indicative dividend yield. Note the yield is indicative and not guaranteed, this is because it is based on previous distributions. 

According to Bloomberg, indicated yield is calculated as the most recently announced net or gross dividend annualized based on the frequency of the dividend, divided by the current market price. If the security is paying an interim/final dividend, the two values are added together and divided by the current market price. 

The Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Sector currently maintains an indicative dividend yield of 6.4% as noted in the recent market update (clickhere). Source: My Gateway

Source: My Gateway

OTO is better than OSIM?


OSIM posts 1% rise in full-year earnings
Group revenue rose 7 per cent on-year to a record S$691 million. The group has proposed a final dividend of 2 cents per share, bringing it to a total of 6 cents per share for 2014.
on 24 November 2014 I posted Osim Vs OTO Which is better?

in the post, we show that Osim's chart is on a downtrend where as OTO who listed in Hongkong was on an UP trend. During then Oto price was at HKD$1.60, and now it is up almost 50%(include dividends) to HKD$2.35. Oto is still on an uptrend with support level at $2.05, the uptrend remains unless this support is broken in near terms.
This week we are going to have a stock discussion session, we will talk about Singapore, Hongkong, China and US stocks. Do join us to spot good stocks together! Limited seats, do register a seat following the link below

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

YangZiJiang - Outperformer in 2015?

Since 2014 June, we see Yangzijiang recovering slowly  (from the chart above) in a parallel channel, currently it is also trading near the 52week high, we like to look out for stock that is trading at the 52week high as history has thought us, stocks that break 52week high have a higher chance to move up further because there is less resistance ahead. Currently the support of YZJ is at 1.20, trend remain bullish if price stay above this level for the mid term period.
Below is a research by Macquarie

“Yangzijiang Shipbuilding is the surprise outperformer”

Date: 13/01/2015 
Yangzijiang (YZJ) gained approximately 7% since the beginning of 2015 amid a volatile market, outperforming the STI’s 0.6% decline. The stock closed at $1.29 yesterday, its highest closing price in over two years.

Macquarie Equities Research (MER) issued a report on YZJ on 9 January, raising their 12-month price target to $1.55 based on a Relative Net Asset Value methodology with an Outperform call on the ship builder. Here are some excerpts from the report.

YZJ was a surprise outperformer in the Singapore industrials sector in 2014 (up 2% versus peers down 20-30% each) on the back of strong order inflows and better-than-expected margin performance. MER expects the trend to continue into 2015 and keep YZJ as an Outperform with a slightly increased target price of S$1.55, up from S$1.45.

Surprises in 2014

Orders: New high value orders for 4x260,000 deadweight tonnage (dwt) bulk carriers and 6x10,000 Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit (TEU) containerships allude to the inroads YZJ is making into the very large bulk and container segment.
Margins: Gross margins were better-than-expected on the back of pre-2008 vessel order deliveries. MER now expects Full Year 2014 gross margins to be in the region of approximately 26% vs a previously expected ~23%.

What’s in store in 2015

Start with a robust order book of US$4.6bn with 41 new vessel orders:
With 13 new orders for very large vessel types, YZJ is fast becoming a serious player in a segment previously dominated by Korean yards. Yards will be highly utilized up till 2016.
Has 6 large outstanding options which could convert into new orders:
These options comprises 2 x 36,500 dwt bulk carriers, 2 x 10,000 TEU and 2 x 2,700 TEU containerships and estimated to be about US$300m.
MER estimates US$1.6bn of new orders in 2015: YZJ will continue making inroads into the very large vessel segment, in MER’s view. MER estimates 28 bulk carriers and 5 containership orders in 2015.
Margins will come down a bit but could surprise on the upside: MER expects margins to fall as lower value post 2008 contract options were exercised but higher value contracts may mitigate this. MER is estimating 23.2% Earnings Before Interest Tax Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) margin in 2015 and 22.7% in 2016 which have upside risk.

Earnings and target price revision

MER is increasing their earnings estimates by 26% and 19% for 2015 and 2016 respectively as the 2014 order inflow number and margins were much above their estimate. Increasing target price from S$1.45 to S$1.55.

Action and recommendation

Recovery in shipbuilding prices and continued strength in management execution to drive the stock in 2015: YZJ’s dependence on offshore rigs orders is declining which works to its favour given the current oil climate. MER thinks YZJ could beat consensus with better than expected shipbuilding orders at higher prices. At 8x 2015E Price / Earnings and 1.0x 2015E Price / Book with 13-14% Return On Equity, the stock looks attractively priced in MER’s view.
Source: Macquarie Research - 13 Jan 2015
http://sgx.i3investor.com/servlets/ptres/7455.jsp

Monday, February 2, 2015

Will CWT make new high in 2015?


CWT Limited, showing bullish sign on our chart, Green candle in Supertrend system represent bullish trend and orange candle represent bearish trend, we saw CWT just turned green not long ago and current support is at $1.60. CWT limited is one of the stock that make new high almost every year, a growing company that we should not missed. Will CWT make a new high in 2015?

Recent news on CWT
According to DBS, the firm’s earnings as at 9M14 grew by 52% year-on-year to $98m, making up 82% of its FY14 forecast.
CWT is expected to book divestment gains from the potential disposal of its 835,000-sq ft Hub 3 warehouse in 2015.
- See more at: http://sbr.com.sg/transport-logistics/more-news/cwt-expected-book-120m-in-fy14


Will These 3 Fastest growing company continue their explosive growth in 2015?
http://www.fool.sg/2014/12/24/will-these-3-fast-growing-companies-continue-their-explosive-growth-in-2015/
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