Tuesday, May 31, 2016

China Bull Waking up? US market updates

China Market had their largest single day gain in 2 months as investors speculate on the MSCI inclusion of china share. Shanghai up 3.34% . The announcement of the MSCI inclusion is estimated to be out in 2 weeks time.

Goldman Sachs has increased the probability that MSCI will include mainland Chinese shares in its indexes to 70 percent. (Channelnewsasia)

In the recent announcement, the authorities had taken steps to tighten companies in suspension(and resume from suspension) of share trading. with this problem taken care of it will help in MSCI including china share into their index.
 MSCI将于6月15日宣布,是否在今年将A股纳入其全球指数体系。如果得以通过,按计划,由于受限于中国的资本管制,第一步是将按市值的5%将A股纳入MSCIChina 指数,以及相应的综合指数,如新兴市场指数(MSCIEmerging Market Index)。市场对MSCI并不陌生,MSCI从2013年启动针对将A 股纳入其全球指数的审议。在2014和2015年,MSCI曾对纳入A股进行了两轮市场咨询,最后都以决定暂不纳入A告终,但A股继续保留在审核名单上。在最近的一次审议,2015年6月,MSCI在宣布暂不把A股纳入其全球指数系列后,表示会针对国际投资者比较担忧的三个问题,和证监会将组成工作小组,以促进这些问题成功解决,然后将A股纳入其指数体系。

With the inclusion of china shares into MSCI index. Fund managers will more willing to invest into China share. If China market is up, fund managers will not want to underperform the index, hence will also include China stock into their portfolio.

US Market Updates
Last week we see Nasdaq up 3.3% biggest weekly gain since 19 Feb, Dow Jones up 2.13% biggest weekly gain since 18 March ending the 4 consecutive week drop. S&P 500 also up 2.2%, biggest gain since 4th March.

Fed Chairman, Janet Yellen 

This week to watch
1. U.S. nonfarm payrolls report -The U.S. Labor Department will release its May nonfarm payrolls report at 12:30GMT, or 8:30AM ET, on Friday.
2. The European Central Bank's interest rate decision is due at 11:45GMT, or 7:45AM ET, on Thursday

3The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing is to release data on May manufacturing sector activity at 01:00GMT on Wednesday,

4The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will meet in Vienna on Thursday

What you will learn:
  • Time Tested Propietory Strategy to trade in Stock
  • How this strategy can apply in any market around the World
  • Simple Steps to pick the Growing Stocks?
  • How you can do Sector Analysis to find what is the Strong/weak sector now
  • Market outlook and individual Singapore stocks analysis using Technical Analysis
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Thursday, May 26, 2016

Singpost & Alibaba - Going down with Accounting Probe?

Alibaba share drop more than 6% yesterday as SEC investigate its Accounts.

Singpost, one of the well known brand in Singapore for mail and logistic services(Alibaba owns 10%), recently reported good result with revenue up 25.2%  from a year ago. However for FY 15/16 net profit was down 4%.

Even after result release, we dont see Singpost price goes up, to me this means that the supply is more than demand. One of the reason is Singpost has been flagged out by Acra on its accounting practice (Channelnews Asia 18 May - ACRA investigating SingPost over possible breaches of Companies Act)

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On the Technical Chart side, this stock has been downtrending over the past 1 year, now is a pull back from the 52 week low. Price make recent new low to 1.52 without much support seen current rebound dont seems to be strong. Mid term and long term trend bearish bias.

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Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Why Ausgroup Falling so fast this few day?

 In recent news from The West Australian 
AusGroup said that based on March quarter results, it was in breach of the financial covenant under a trust deed because its total equity had fallen below $160 million.
“As a result, an event of default has occurred under the terms of the notes (of the trust deed),” the contractor said in a declaration to the Singapore Exchange last night.
“The company intends to seek waivers from holders of the unsecured notes. There is no assurance that the waivers will be granted and, if granted, on terms and conditions that are acceptable to the group.”

As previously i mention many time on 938live radio and 958Capital FM that to avoid oil companies during this period as some of them may go bankrupt.

Alot of people is saying, how can this happen to a Singapore Stock? I thought Singapore stock is safe. I thought this stock is very cheap already that is why I buy.

But no... that is not the question to ask

The question you should be asking is can this kind of big loss be avoided.

For me, if my system show Red candlestick, i will get out, base on the Chart above, we should be out most of the time when price fall from 0.26 to 0.07 more than 60%.

If you have stock that are like that and you dont know what to do. Drop me a message or come for our upcoming seminar to get a better view of the market.

Free Seminar - Time Tested Strategy For Trend Trading in Stock and CFD

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Can Jumbo Fly like ThaiBev - 4 point analysis

Did you follow our previous call on ThaiBev when it is 0.76? Congrats if you have done that. This article is to share why we pick the stock before it have a strong move 

3 UpTrending Below $1.00 Singapore Stock for 2016

1) Thaibev is already an uptrending stock
2) Almost every year the price make NEW HIGH
3) Thaibev have reported strong earnings Quarter on Quarter, revenue was up 21% compare to the same quarter last year
4) Institutional support. CDP owns 38% of Thaibev as a substantial share holder. The uptrend is not likely to crash like some other small cap stock.

What about JUMBO? will the price JUMP like Thaibev?
1. Uptrending Stock
Jumbo stock show higher High, higher low. That is an uptrend right?

2. Break New High
- look at the chart below

3. Good revenue reports - Source from Motley fool website

4 Strong Institutional backing - Temasek, Fullerton fund, Heliconia, Ron Sim. I believe they have some foresight. ;)

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Wednesday, May 11, 2016

SG stock that is Still Uptrending when STI is down

STI have fallen more than 200 point from the high at 2964, now STI is at 2730. Is it all the stock is going down? This article is to share with you some of the stock that is outperforming the Market.

 SATS the airline food catering services company has always been uptrending since 2015, when market is uncertain and bearish, this stock has consistently outperform the market due to the defensive sector and good dividend payment history.
Recent News on Japfa
 Japfa Q1 earnings skyrocket 234% due to contributions from animal protein and dairy segments

China Aviation reported 68% up in profit for Q1 due to higher trading gain and it also recorded 244% jump in operating cashflow comparing with 2015 Q1.

FREE Upcoming seminar
What are the Singapore Stocks that show Big Players Now?

What you will learn:

 What are the Singapore / Hong Kong / Malaysia stocks that show Big Players Now? (Knowing this will make you better than 95% of retail investors)
 Learn how you can know the Best Performing or Worst Performing Sector of the month (This will help you to strategize and know what sector to zoom in on to minimize time spent)
 How do you identify correctly the trend of the stock so as to know precisely when to exit a trade when trend change
 How do you leverage on CFDs to short stocks that are bearish now (Understanding this will enable you to make money even in a bearish market)

 A look at your stocks health now in 60 seconds (Discussions on stocks that you want to see or are of concern now)

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Fee: Free

To register :  pls click here

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Raffles Medical - Price continue to surge after share split 1 into 3 & dividend 0.045

Some friend is asking why Raffles Medical had decided for their stock split. 

The reason for a stock split is usually done by companies (Raffles Medical) that have seen their share price increase to levels that are either too high or are beyond the price levels of similar companies in their sector. The primary motive is to make shares seem more affordable to small investors even though the underlying value of the company has not changed.

However, based on Technical Analysis (TA), the price was gap up and broke 1.53 initial resistance and today it closed at 1.63 and broke another resistance 1.62. If price open higher tomorrow, we believe that the price has potential to continue it upsides as long as the support level of 1.62 stay firmly.

RafflesMedicalGroup is a leading integrated private healthcare provider in the region, operating medical facilities in thirteen cities in Singapore, China, Japan, Vietnam and Cambodia. The Group is the first Asian member of the Mayo Clinic Care Network.

RafflesMedical clinics form one of the largest networks of private family medicine centres in Singapore.

RafflesHospital, the flagship of Raffles Medical Group, is a private tertiary hospital located in the heart of Singapore offering a wide range of specialist medical and diagnostic services for both inpatients and outpatients. Representing more than 30 disciplines, our team of specialists constitutes a group practice combining sub-specialty expertise and teamwork to ensure optimal, affordable and high quality care for our patients. The Group also has representative offices in Indonesia, Vietnam, Cambodia, Brunei, Bangladesh and the Russian Far East, as well as associates throughout the Asia-Pacific region.

RafflesDental is a team-based dental group in Singapore comprising of a specialist dental practice at Raffles Hospital and a network of general dental clinics.

RafflesHealthinsurance provides healthcare insurance to corporate and individual clients.

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Tuesday, May 3, 2016

What?? Gold Miners up more than 150% in just 5 month?

As mention in previous post about Gold, we talk about Barrick Gold at 15.60 and two week later now it is at $19.10, up more than 20%. DRDgold was at 4.41 on the previous post, now it is $5.45 also up more than 20%.

one of the trading rule i follow strictly is: If i know this is a strong sector, i will put some money there.

Most people will do is just watch and not act if price already up. Trend follower will try to hop on and ride the trend, initially with a small position and along the way up, we add more position.

Below are a few Gold mining stocks for your reference.

 Barrick Gold Corporation (Barrick) is a gold mining company. The Company is engaged in the production and sale of gold and copper, as well as related activities, such as exploration and mine development. The Company operates in segments: eight individual gold mines, Acacia and Pascua-Lama project. The remaining operating segments have been grouped into two other categories: its remaining gold mines and its two copper mines. The Company sells its production in the world market through the distribution channels: gold bullion is sold in the gold spot market; gold and copper concentrate is sold to independent smelting companies, and copper cathode is sold to various manufacturers and traders. The Company has 14 producing gold mines, located in Canada, the United States, Peru, Argentina, Australia, the Dominican Republic and Papua New Guinea. It also holds a 63.9% equity interest in Acacia Mining plc (Acacia) that owns gold mines and exploration properties in Africa. (Market Cap: USD22.5Billion)
 DRDGOLD Limited is a surface gold tailings retreatment company. The Company operates in the central Witwatersrand (Wits) basin in Gauteng province and recovers gold from tailings. Ergo Mining Proprietary Limited (Ergo) is the Company's operating entity. Ergo is a surface retreatment operator. Ergo's assets cover an area approximately 62 kilometers from east to west and 25 kilometers from north to south. The Company operates approximately two metallurgical plants, two milling and pump stations, a network of pipelines and the Brakpan tailings facility (BTF). The Ergo plant has a total retreatment capacity of 1.8 million tons per month. The Company's product is dore bars. Ergo beneficiates its crude bullion (approximately 85% gold, 7% to 8% silver, some copper and other elements) at its smelter. Ergo is wholly owned by Ergo Mining Operations Proprietary Limited (EMO). (Market Cap: USD236million)
 Newmont Mining Corporation is a global mining company, which is focused on the production of and exploration for gold and copper. The Company is primarily a gold producer with operations and/or assets in the United States, Australia, Peru, Indonesia, Ghana and Suriname. Its segments are North America, South America, Asia Pacific and Africa. It has gold reserves of over 73.7 million ounces and an aggregate land position of over 20,000 square miles. It is also engaged in the production of copper, through Batu Hijau in Indonesia, Boddington in Australia and Phoenix in the United States. The North America segment consists of Carlin, Phoenix and Twin Creeks in the state of Nevada, and Cripple Creek &Victor in the state of Colorado, in the United States. The South America segment consists of Yanacocha in Peru. The Asia Pacific segment consists of Boddington, Tanami and Kalgoorlie in Australia and Batu Hijau in Indonesia. The Africa segment consists primarily of Ahafo and Akyem in Ghana. ( Market Cap: 18Billion)
Seabridge Gold Inc. (Seabridge) is a development stage company engaged in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties located in North America. The Company's objective is to provide its shareholders with leverage to a rising gold price. Seabridge's principal projects include the KSM (Kerr-Sulphurets-Mitchell) property located in British Columbia and the Courageous Lake property located in the Northwest Territories. The KSM property consists of three discontinuous claim blocks, which include the KSM claim group, the Seabee/Tina claims and the KSM placer claim block. The first two claim blocks (KSM and Seabee/Tina) contain two mineral leases and 71 mineral claims, consisting of both cell and legacy claims. The total area of the first two claim blocks is 50,500 hectares. The Courageous Lake Project is a gold project and consists of 61 federal mining leases, 26 federal mining claims and one optioned federal mining lease (Red 25) having a combined area of 124,189.9 acres.  ( Market Cap: 735million)

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