Monday, June 24, 2013

What have we learned so far from the Correction!

Have we learn something in this correction. A month ago, we notify our client to exit ''some'' of their position, as much as 30% of the portfolio in the stand of managing their RISK due to market behaving abnormally.

1)First thing we learn from this Correction is ''Market did give a sign when it is going into a correction'', ''A big correction usually start from a small drop''. A correction is a period where stock market stop rising. Normally after a period of uptrend and for the past few years, it takes at least one month to recover. After recover, market went higher, hence most people usually wait for a correction to come and they buy more during this period when price is falling. However what we do is completely different from most people. As a trend follower we only start buying when price start rising and mid term trend change.

2) We dont stay Long in this correction period, instead we should have Short position for most of our counters.When market turn up again, we will go long again.

3) When market start falling, many people will try to find out the news of WHY it is dropping, the main reason which what i always tell my client is ''People are selling'' and if the price move alot, These people are the big boys.

4) Time to learn shorting? During the past 1 over years we have been preparing our clients to use CFD, just incase the bear strike. In current event, Shorting tend to be more profitable and you can also hedge your portfolio if market tank further. Now is still not late to learn shorting if you are going to remain to trading for the next 10-20years.

5) Believing you are ''Right'' can be very expensive. I see people turn profit into losses when the trend changes. and the loss just turn bigger. E.g believing we are in a bull run, believing market will rebound, believing the stock is already at a critical support. A better way is to believe in a system or strategy(regardless u are using TA, FA or Trendfollowing) that can tell u an entry and exit rather than our own judgement. Most importantly is to be consistent of what we are doing, so from there we can tune it to trade better. If u are doing discretionary trading, just make sure u have stoploss + a weekly/monthly risk budget so u wont gamble too much away.

6) Lastly, our Emotion. If you are going thru a tough time now, try to Feel what you feeling now. Write it down so next time u know how to handle this. Don't give up on learning how to beat the game, today if you are losing, somebody out there has made Your money. =)

Again.. this is NOT a Buy/sell call Just a review, just show some chart for ur information.
 Supergroup recently call for exit,
 Ezion fall 7% today, actually on last thursday our system call for exit and you should have exited this trade on last friday.
Osim up since last year September, this is one good demonstration of winning big. Since Sept 2012 this counter rise from $1.32 till  $1.95 on Friday. This trend took profit with 47% gain.

Friday, June 21, 2013

Yoma is Still Strong?

This morning STI drop more than 60 point this morning and recovered. I believed that many people already went in to the market to buy. Most people will buy the stock that fall the most, because it is cheap. but to us, those stock that is cheap, is because big fund managers are selling it off first. Stock that is still expensive means fund managers are still holding it.

Well, we mention previously, market will take some time to come back. Base on our past experience on correction, we always look for counters that is more resilient during correction.
Alot of time when market recover, they will tend to move higher.

Yoma has been quite resilient as compare to most stocks in the market. currently still bullish uptrend. Can monitor this stock, if market recover(now still not yet) this counter might have potential.

Even though market has rebounded for the past few day, this is still not enough to tell the mid term trend change. However the price movement did tell that there are some buying activities in the market. If you want to buy something, now can consider to invest 10-20%. BUT at the same time do prepare to cut loss.

For yoma, stoploss can place at $0.87

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Free Singapore Stock Seminar

Title:  What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this June market?
sharing by Andy Yew
讲座主题:  月有哪一些股票可以买或卖空?》
Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

On 20 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 21 June 2013, Fri (华语讲座Chinese Seminar). 

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2)
How to react to current market situation
3) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
4) Spore Stocks that You should sell away

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Date:
 20 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 21 June 2013, Fri (Chinese Seminar 华文讲座)
Time: 7pm – 10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 
or SMS  to 93676623

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Market Outlook - Will market stop dropping soon??

Don't try to guess how far a trend will go. You can't. Peter Borish, former second-in-command for Paul Tudor Jones, lays bare the only concern a trader must have: "Price make news, not the other way around. The market is going to go where a Market is going to go."?

I mentioned "Is this a Market Correction(Yes), this is the second correction we are facing since the FEB to APR correction. So will this time last for 1-2 month that long? I am not sure about that, i will just wait for market to tell me when it will be back. Now is beginning of mid term downtrend, people who shorted will hope that the downturn last as long as possible."
It might last for month, right now we are in an extended downtrend. Hence if u  have attended my talk you will understand how we will enter the market again. Remember Wait for 3 day! Wait for market to stablise, dont catch the falling knife. 
By the way, we dont really care for support for now, we will just cover "some" of our shorts when market 3 day not falling anymore.

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Small Cap Stock Geo Energy & UPP

As mention previously, mid and small cap stocks are on the move.

 Geo energy, indonesian coal miner cum operator, recently move higher after sideway consolidation. Currently Energy sector is on the move, can consider to look at Geo Energy if it break one bid above prior day high. For mid -Long term trade. Stoploss can place below the support 0.415
http://www.nextinsight.net/index.php/story-archive-mainmenu-60/919-2013/6914-independent-directors-buy-shares-geo-energy-san-teh

Another sector that is moving right now is the Myanmar play. UPP seems strong for the past few week. 

UPP Holdings Limited, formerly United Pulp & Paper Company Limited, is an investment holding company. The Company is engaged in providing management services and trading of paper products. It operates in two segments: The paper mill and recycled fibre division Others. The paper mill and recycled fibre divisions manufactures and sells industrial grade paper products, collect and trades in waste paper products and recycled fibre. Others, which include investment/corporate segment, focuses on identifying new investment opportunities locally and overseas. On January 3, 2011, the Company has increased its interest in its subsidiary, UPP Re-cycled Fibre (M) Sdn Bhd (UPPRF), from 51% to 86.1% after the transfer of 51% interest in UPPRF from UPP Industries Pte. Ltd (UPI) to UPP Pulp & Paper (M) Sdn Bhd (UPP Malaysia). On November 19, 2012, the Company incorporated a 50 megawatt class new gas generating power plant project in Yangon (Ywama) in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar (Myanmar).

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Free Stock Seminar

Title:  What are the Singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this June market?
sharing by Andy Yew
讲座主题:  月有哪一些股票可以买或卖空?》
Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!
On 6 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 7 June 2013, Fri (华语讲座Chinese Seminar). 

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
4) Spore Stocks that You should sell away

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!
Date: 6 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 7 June 2013, Fri (Chinese Seminar 华文讲座)
Time: 7pm – 10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light
Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 
To register pls click here 
or SMS <Number of seats> to 93676623

Register for Up Coming Events

Discover the Right Trend in Q3 2013 

         8 June 2013 @ SGX Auditorium 10am-12pm

Tuesday, June 4, 2013

Vard Holding - Update

*Signal came 2days ago. This is just an updates for those who is not using a system to trade. Not a buy or sell call.

Vard holdings, previously know as STXOSV, 2 days ago the trend signal to change to bullish. This few day has be going up quite a lot. Mid term Bullish. For the past 1 and half year, STXosv has been easy to predict, indeed this is one of the most trend following stock in STI.

Monday, June 3, 2013

Guess Which Stocks Are Still Standing Strong?




Market have been selling down for the past week, one good thing about Metastock is the Scanner is really useful to do a filter for stocks. However, the interpretation of the results is the one that make you profitable. This list of stocks are currently the Strongest stocks, that is still standing after STI wipe away 150 point in 6 days. 

For trend followers: The key is not picking the right stock, but to ride the right trend till it bend.

Some conclusion from the scan result:
1) Big boys are still holding these stocks 
2) Most of these stocks are lower than 80cents (Small cap), small cap may run when there is a technical rebound in the market? *** HIGH RISK, pls prepare 10-15% stoploss
3) This list get shorter and shorter than previous week, even you buy some of these.They might turn weak as market turn weaker. Big boys may also give up on these stocks, but if they are still holding right now, they probably continue to hold longer because not much people going to buy these stocks, at this time. Most people will look at "Bargain hunting" which is buying stocks that drop alot, so big boys will continue to push higher until they got enough people to sell to.

Every single successful trader ever interviewed as far as I have read has said  something along the lines of “Cut your losses short”,”Let your winners run.” “Pull the weeds, water  the flowers”. 
“The elements of good trading are cutting losses, cutting losses, and cutting losses.” -Ed Seykota
Register for Up Coming Events

Discover the Right Trend in Q3 2013 

         8 June 2013 @ SGX Auditorium 10am-12pm
http://discovertherighttrend.eventbrite.com/
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