Friday, November 22, 2013

Fast Fact on STI, Stock near Support?

Fast Fact on STI
  • Thursday Morning STI had a sharp down by about -25point, later in the day it pull back to -11.85point, closed at 3172
  • Finally we see some excitement, activities are back. We shall see stock giving us the direction very soon.
  • Mid term - We are in a range bound market, Sideway. Until we see a break below the support 3163 or break above resistance 3235.
  • Currently STI is below 10days moving average, this to me is Downside bias.Unless price break above 10SMA, then i will be bullish
  • Current strategy is Long Strong Counter, Short Weak counter.
  • Commodities still strong, Indoagri, GoldenAgri, Wilmar, FirstRes, NOBLE GRP
  • Property still Weak, Blue Chip dividend stock weak.

 Beside commodities below are some stock that is near support level, if market is good this 2 might be moving
Osim, previously broken 52week high, now pull back near support level. Support at $2.11

F&N, previously uptrending, now going narrow Range, support at $5.70

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Are you getting the Stock Market Auntie Syndrome?





Many times we encounter investors that come asking,(Auntie) how is my stocks? Where is the market heading? Do you think will there be a next QE coming? Interest rate hike? What do you about Genting SP, Noble Group? Cosco? My Cosco Jialat leh, buy at $2.00 one.. etc..

When you need to know what is happening next, you are actually lacking of a Strategy of entering and exiting. You need to find a Strategy that fits you!

Auntie: Cannot Cut loss la, lose a lot money leh if i cut loss now!
To cut loss or not? Even fundamentalist do have cut loss, you have to understand that no system work 100%. Losing is part of the Game. To win is game, is just to have Big Win and Small Loss. But most people in the market tend to have Big losses and Small gain. This is natural human behavior, market is design to beat you in this way. You have to decide your Risk management strategy. Most successful trader don't risk more than 1% of their portfolio in each trade, this manage the risk of Ruin, black swan, fat tail event that will blow up your account!

Auntie: Aiyo! This Cosco is "My FRIEND" give one!
RESPONSIBILITY!!
Always remember this! Nobody cares about your money more than yourself, you have to justify using your strategy whether this trade fits you. What I learn from great traders is, they dont follow other people. If you want to become better, you have to try catching the fish by yourself

Auntie: So how now? Cut or Dont Cut?
No Comment. =.=||||

Do you have what it get to be a Profitable Trader?
Weapon?
1.Stock Cash Account – Long position, Intra Day Naked Short, Contra Trade
2.CFD account  - Trade STI index, Shorting and Leverage Power
3.Stop limit order
4.Trading System to Enter and Exit
5.Cut loss, let profit Run. Add position to winners
6.Backtesting to build confidence
7.Money management Template(Keeping records)
8.Mentor groups
9.Stock Scanner
Defenses
1.Trading Plan
2.Perfect Execution (Entry and exit as planned)
3.Money management, Risk per trade, Position Size
4.Patience, wait, don’t overtrade
5.Emotional Control
6.Stock watchlist (Monitor your stocks daily)
7.Plan B(What to do if market suddenly Crash?)

Feel free to contact us if you have any enquiries.

Learn How to Short Stock and Index here

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Are you Catching the Commodities Run?

One of the most obvious things happening in Singapore stock market is probably the Commodities Stock going Higher. We know.. many people will say "thats too high to chase", but that depends on what timeframe and what strategy you are using. Nevertheless, buying the strongest sector is always what we do, and now we see commodities sector is "still" the strongest, we should own at least 1 or 2 counter in this sector. (GoldenAgr, IndoAgri, FirstRes,Wilmar,


Looking at the Chart of GoldenAgri, we saw the price break out of the 0.58 Resistance and now falling back to 0.585. Stronger support at 0.56, Short term Target 0.63 

IndoAgri previously breakout of resistance at 0.91, making the new high of recent 3month is a sign of a confirm uptrend, current a good entry will be at 0.915 with as the resistance turn support is at 0.91. Stoploss can be place at 0.895. Short term Target $1.00

Monday, November 18, 2013

Ezra - Buy Setup follow up


If you have followed our previous post correctly, you should not have entered on Ezra as the Entry price was not triggered.
http://www.andy-yew.com/2013/11/ezra-trading-buy-setup.html

With the Rise on last Friday, many people could be pondering what is going on now? The likelihood should be Big boys are re entering the market after sell off. Does your Strategy (i know not many people have strategy) have a Re entry setup? Meaning after you sell off, when do you buy back if it is still good?

We see if Ezra price is above 10SMA = Still good, Price Up on Friday means this stock is stronger that the rest of the stock that dont move, hence with the positive market sentiment an uptrend continuation trend is possible for Ezra.

Setup looks like this:
Entry $1.33 on Monday Morning
Initial Stoploss = 1.265
If price rally use 10Sma as a trailing stop indicator. If price CLOSE below 10sma (end of day), we will sell on next trading day.


Wednesday, November 13, 2013

5 Fast Fact on STI Chart

5 Fast Fact on STI Chart
  1. Four Trading days ago, STI gap down after a sideway trend support at 3200, this is telling us we "might" be going down further
  2. Today STI make a Lower Low than previous 3day, This somewhat confirm the Short term we are on a downtrend and there is no sign of reversal yet. Unless STI close above 3185 in next few day, then "maybe" we have chance  for a rebound.
  3. For the past few trading session, we saw a lot of sell down on Good blue chip counter. E.g ST engg, SATS, Starhub, Capitaland. This is something crazy isn't it? Seems like fund managers are throwing towels!
  4. Today even Strong Mid Cap are falling and some closed below 10SMA, this probably tell us the strong stocks going for a Break, for a while as market dont look so good. In simple term, A correction could be coming, is time to put on your safety belt or practice some Shorts.
  5. We called on Profit taking at 3209 in our Previous post, now we know that is really where the Big Boy's exited. http://www.andy-yew.com/2013/11/sti-sideway-profit-taking.html

Want to know more about the market or how u can be a better trader? Check out our up coming seminar below!

Free Singapore Stocks Seminar

What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this November market?

十一月份 可以买或卖空的股票

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 14 Nov 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm ***Cancelled
           15 Nov 2013,  Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 


To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

ThBev - Consolidating with downside potential

ThaiBeverage, Currently sideway consolidation. However it is below the 10SMA, 50SMA and 200SMA. Facing the heavy resistance seems that it is easier to go lower level than higher level.

Can consider to trade break support if STI is weak.

Short Entry at 0.51
Initial Stop 0.545
Target 0.455
Timeframe 2-3weeks

However if it break upside resistance above 0.560, a potential uptrend could be seen, we will look for long entry.

Ezra - Trading buy setup

Ezra currently is on an upward trend, price have consistently stayed above the 10 simple moving average. This could be a possible breakout trade, Ezra will be bullish bias if price break above $1.37, bearish if price close below 10SMA, around 1.32.

Entry: 1.37
Initial Stoploss $1.32
Timeframe: 1-3weeks
Target $1.49

Monday, November 11, 2013

Lessons learned from Quotes of Famous Guru

Few things i learned from the Guru's quote that i think if anyone who is want to make money in trading should follow.
1) Managing Risk, especially Risk of Ruin
2) Have a plan to Win, if you dont plan for yourself, you will fall into other people's plan.
3) Follow the Trend, almost all the successful and consistent trader trade trend.
4) Controlling Emotions, Ego, Anger, disappointment, Sadness, Anxiety... etc, All good traders go through these..
5) Learn how to win big by adding to your Winner


“I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don’t bet, you can’t win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet.” - Larry Hite

"If you diversify, control your risk, and go with the trend, it just has to work." -Larry Hite


“It’s all about sticking to your plan and experiencing feelings as they arise. If you are unwilling to feel your feelings, the temptation is to avoid them by jumping off your system.” -Ed Seykota

"Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don't ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead." -Paul Tudor Jones

"It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." George Soros

Thursday, November 7, 2013

Comfortdelgro potential upside ahead

Comfortdelgro broke out consolidation base this morning, currently price is above most short and mid term moving average (10,20,40). Potential move higher if STI is going for another run.

Trade setup: break out of consolidation base

Entry: 1.94 (If can get 1.91 better, lower risk)

Stoploss: 1.885

Target around : 2.10 Mid term timeframe.

Risk reward Ratio: 2.9

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Why Mid term Trade is better for you

Are you still trying to find a method to make money in the stock market? One of the most important factor is the Timeframe, successful trader always know what timeframe they are trading,  and unsuccessful trader usually just want to try their way out. The mid term we define here is between 2weeks to 12week or even longer if the trend continue. Here is why mid term trade is good for you.

  1. You dont get terrified and stressed out whole day watching on your stocks, emotionally it will be easier to handle
  2. You can save more time looking for a "better" trade, once you are in the position, you intend to keep it for a while until it hit your exit criteria. Take your profit slow, cut your losses fast!
  3. It is possible to have a Much bigger win if you run on daily chart than minutes chart.
  4. It is easier to plan for a trade before the price move, if you are not fast enough to estimate you stoploss and calculate your position size. Mid term trade is less Risky for you!
  5. You can save a lot of commission by trading a longer timeframe.


Free Singapore Stocks Seminar

What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this November market?

十一月份 可以买或卖空的股票

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 7 Nov 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm
           8 Nov 2013,  Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 


To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Tuesday, November 5, 2013

Falcon Energy: 2Q14 Net Profit Up 19 Times To US$38.9 Million.


Falcon Energy: 2Q14 Net Profit Up 19 Times To US$38.9 Million.

05 Nov 2013 10:50

Falcon Energy Group Limited posted a 776 per cent rise in Net Profit after tax attributable to shareholders from US$3.9 million in 1H2013 to US$34.4 million in 1H2014. This was on the back of a 511 per cent jump in revenue to US$209.7 million. The Group's overall gross profit improved by 839 per cent to US$90.9 million with a higher overall gross profit margin of 43 per cent compared to 28 per cent in the previous corresponding period. FEG's strong performance for 1H2014 is a confirmation that its growth strategy is yielding positive results. The Group's revenue rose substantially on the back of business expansion by moving up the value chain in oil and gas services industry...

http://www.shareinvestor.com/news/news.html?source=sg_si_express&nid=71348


Chart Analysis For Falcon Energy, Gap up this morning opening at 0.44, Mid term this counter is on an uptrend, could have more upside in coming month as All the Moving average are turning up, 10ma, 20ma 40ma all facing upward. However a safer trade set up could be around 0.400 - 0.405 area, stoploss at 0.39. 

High Risk Trade, position size: Small.

TimeFrame Mid- term


Friday, November 1, 2013

STI Sideway, Profit Taking



Previous Post on STI: http://www.andy-yew.com/2013/10/7-facts-about-sti.html


  1. As mention in previous post, STI Support Remain at 3200. However Since US market is not moving higher last night, there will be more chance of Profit taking going on today.
  2. Resistance remain at 3235-3240 area, unless we can break this STI can move in uptrend again. We are now in a short term sideway trend.
  3. CityDev, Capitaland, Biosensors, SGX are among the few weak stock on thursday
  4. Is it a good time to short yet? Probably not yet, now is good time to clear some old inventory. If you have some stocks not moving as planned, is good to cash out first. and look for higher probability trade.



Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Free Singapore Stocks Seminar

What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this November market?

十一月份 可以买或卖空的股票

sharing by Andy Yew

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 31 Oct 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm
           1 Nov 2013,  Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Monday, October 28, 2013

7 Facts about STI



  1. The Recent High is at 3235, which is 4 Trading days ago. This show that fund managers/big boys stop buying higher for a while.
  2. The short term critical support should be somewhere at 3200, which some people will call it the psychological support
  3. The prior trend before the Recent High is an Uptrend, we saw STI forming multiple daily New High since 8 Oct.
  4. When we are trending up, retail player are worrying about the market. Now STI stop moving, they get even worrier (Not become a warrior).
  5. STI chart is looking similar to S&P, means there is some correlation. Most likely we are waiting for them to move higher then we follow.
  6. BlueChip and Mid cap mostly still strong. KepCorp, F&N, SPH, Kepland, SIA engg still not turning down, means BB still not selling. Then seems bullish on the market.
  7. If STI break the support at 3200, means big boys selling. We should follow them to sell first, If STI break 3235, means big boys are buying, we should buy more if that happen. If STI still stay within the zone, we shall stay put with what ever we holding right now, dont move.


Untold Secret of CFD Trading - by Andy Yew
6th November 2013 (Wednesday), 6.45pm – 9.15pm
  Venue: Crystal Room, 3 Shan Road, Phillip Investor Hub

Friday, October 25, 2013

Yoma - Mid term going higher

Yoma closed 0.78 on Thursday, Our system show a blue arrow indicating a potential buy if it break the previous day high. Right now for mid term, the chart pattern is still not a confirm uptrend(got higher high, but not higher low), however now price is also relatively closer to the support of 0.70 when price is at the recent low.

Latest News on Yoma:
Yoma: To run Volkswagen's first service centre in Myanmar. Yoma Strategic's 70%-owned German Car Industries Company (GCI) has entered into a service partner agreement with Volkswagen Aktiengesellschaft to operate Volkswagen's first service centre in Myanmar, which is scheduled to start operations in October this year. The service centre currently operated by GCI will provide maintenance and repair services for Volkswagen vehicles, including the sale of genuine vehicle parts to existing vehicle owners. (Source: The Business Times) 

Latest Insider Trade
Aberdeen is doing the Fundamental for you, with professional fund manager invested at recent price, they must have see something good in this company. Last round, Aberdeen bought in April and May around 0.81 and 0.835. Sold at 0.925 in June.


Untold Secret of CFD Trading - by Andy Yew
6th November 2013 (Wednesday), 6.45pm – 9.15pm
  Venue: Crystal Room, 3 Shan Road, Phillip Investor Hub

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Why some Unit Trust is Still worth buying? Are you Investing in China Recovery?

Why some Unit Trust is Still worth buying?

Dividend Yield: Instead of keeping money in the bank or CPF, where else can you invest for better "interest" or "dividend". There are some funds that give monthly dividend or quarterly dividend. These are good for Retirement Income planning. More over, the best part i like about unit trust is you can "Diversify with small amount of money","start small" and "invest regularly"
Outperform ETF or Index. The fund manager "has been" doing better than you!

Are you investing in China Recovery?
E.g
First State Regional China (Capital Gain, Outperform China ETF A50)
http://www.eunittrust.com.sg/FundFinder.aspx?f=522040
Annualized Performance (24oct 2014) Pls click above link for latest performance.
To achieve long-term capital appreciation by investing all or substantially all of its assets in the First State Greater China Growth Fund (a Dublin-domiciled fund) which invests primarily in securities issued by companies with either assets in, or revenues derived from, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong and Taiwan.
PeriodPerformance Returns (%)Volatility (%)Return/Volatility Ratio
1 Year17.116411.98701.4279
2 Years15.295512.89941.1858
3 Years4.486414.27810.3142
5 Years14.986617.54800.8540
10 Years12.126818.85740.6431

If you do the Comparison with United China A50 ETF which most people buy. Do you see the Different in performance in 1year 3year and 5year? 
http://www.phillipetf.com/FundFinder.aspx?f=001538
Investment Objective :Annualized Performance (24oct 2014) Pls click above link for latest performance.
United SSE 50 China ETF is an exchange-traded investment fund incorporated inSingapore. The aim of the Fund is to closely match the performance of the ChinaSSE 50 Index. The Fund invests in a type of market access product named P-notes(Participatory notes) issued by suitably rated P-notes issuer(s), linked to acomposite portfolio comprising the A-shares that match the SSE 50 Index.
PeriodPerformance Returns (%)Volatility (%)Risk Adjusted Performance
1 Year2.580618.70390.1380
2 Years0.316017.63860.0179
3 Years-9.985318.4975-0.5398
5 YearsNANANA
10 YearsNANANA
Coming next.. we will discuss more on other Unit trust which consistently outperform market.
First state Dividend advantage(Quarterly dividend, 4%)
Nikko AM shenton(monthly dividend), Outperform STI ETF

More information on the Unit Trust and the Market can be found in
http://www.poems.com.sg/unittrust/

Invest Unit Trust on iPhone Now


Invest unit trusts anytime anywhere with the POEMS Mobile iPhone app. It's the compact, convenient, mobile way to invest on-the-go with the following features:
Download POEMS iPhone app from AppStore

Trade

Buy, sell and switch over 400 funds as placing the trade have become so easy with tap and swipe. Always be in control of your orders by viewing the order status of your trades and you have the option to withdraw the submitted trades.
trade using POEMS iPhone

access portfolio using POEMS iPhone
Portfolio

Keep an eye on your portfolio and monitor your profit or lost. You can view your outstanding payment at a glance.

Fund

Have everything you want to know about the funds at your fingertips – from fund information, fund price and performance charts. Review lists of best and worst performing funds, and find out which are the top selling funds.
access funds using POEMS iPhone

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Watch list

Create your own customized watch lists with your favourite funds, for even faster access to the funds you’re most interested in. You can add up to 2

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

What is the strong Uptrending Stocks? Join Us on our Upcoming Seminar

<<What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this November market?>>
<<十一月份 可以买或卖空的股票>>

sharing by Andy Yew

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 24 Oct 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm – 10pm
          25 Oct 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends 
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays 

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

CWT


CWT stays side way for quit some time with low volume. Currently is trading in the range between 1.38 - 1.45, can consider to accumulate at this range of price for mid-term trade. Critical support is at 1.38 and as long as the price stays above this support level the stock is still in play. Cut loss will be at 1.37 or 1.36. 

Business Summary:

CWT Limited is engaged in the provision of warehousing and logistics services, transportation services, import and export services cargo consolidation and freight forwarding services, container depot operations, commodities supply chain management, collateral management services, engineering services, design-and-build of logistics facilities and financial services. Its operating segments include logistics services, commodity supply chain management, engineering services and others. It focuses and operates its logistics business mainly in commodities; defence; food and beverage; freight forwarding; marine and petrochemicals & chemicals. The Commodity Supply Chain Management is engaged in metals and minerals trading. The engineering services provides a range of maintenance and management services for facilities,vehicles and equipment fleet. In October 2013, CWT Limited announced establishment of Horizon Energy d.o.o. Beograd in Serbia.



Monday, October 21, 2013

Catching the REITS turn around?

Last week did you see some of the stocks climbing higher every day? Which are the market leaders taking the lead to move higher? 

These are Index stocks which mostly were good dividend stocks, they are the strong stocks that pushes STI higher
  • M1, Starhub
  • SembCorp
  • SIA engg
  • SPH
Using our ART postion trade system, we see many of the reits counter has recover from its recent low, right now is probably a good time to look at some reits with potential upside. Seems like the chart of all the REITS is quite similar, it is actually confirming the trend with us, which is an "Obvious" uptrend for mid term. So its now only up to us to choose which  REITS to go with. The 3 chart below shows some of the strongest looking reit that we can consider.

Suntec REIT 
Dividend Yield: 5.6%
Upcoming dividend date: First week of Nov 2013


CDL Hospitality Trust:
Dividend Yield: 6.8%
Upcoming dividend date: First week of Feb 2014
Capitacomm
Dividend Yield: 5.6%
Upcoming dividend date: Last week of Jan 2014

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!
24 Oct 2013, Thu (English Seminar) 7pm – 10pm
25 Oct 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm 

 
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder)
 


To register pls click here 
or SMS  to 93676623
 

Friday, October 18, 2013

SGX remove trading curbs on Blumont Group, Asiasons Capital and LionGold Corp

Singapore Exchange lifts trading curbs on three interlinked stocks : REUTERS

The Singapore Exchange said it has removed trading curbs on the
shares of Blumont Group, Asiasons Capital and LionGold Corp - interlinked companies whose share prices fell steeply this month. 

SGX suspended trading in the three stocks on Oct 4. after a drop in their prices and then declared them "designated securities."

For such securities, traders cannot short-sell them and must pay for any purchases with cash up front.

In a statement late on Friday, SGX said it will continue to monitor the trading of all three stocks.

The trading curbs will be lifted effective Monday.

The exchange has faced criticism over complaints that it stepped in late to tame price swings in the three companies.

Blumont lost nearly $5 billion in market value after a steep rise earlier this year.